Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000126 0.000140 0.000154 0.000171 0.000189 0.000209 0.000233
2025-07-20 0.000103 0.000123 0.000145 0.000174 0.000209 0.000250 0.000303
2025-07-27 0.000087 0.000109 0.000136 0.000173 0.000220 0.000280 0.000362
2025-08-03 0.000077 0.000101 0.000132 0.000175 0.000235 0.000314 0.000430
2025-08-10 0.000068 0.000092 0.000125 0.000173 0.000241 0.000337 0.000484
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000086 0.000120 0.000171 0.000248 0.000361 0.000541
2025-08-24 0.000055 0.000079 0.000114 0.000168 0.000252 0.000379 0.000592
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000073 0.000107 0.000163 0.000251 0.000391 0.000633
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000069 0.000105 0.000163 0.000259 0.000416 0.000699
2025-09-14 0.000043 0.000067 0.000103 0.000165 0.000271 0.000448 0.000780
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000063 0.000099 0.000162 0.000273 0.000464 0.000833
2025-09-28 0.000036 0.000058 0.000093 0.000156 0.000268 0.000467 0.000864
2025-10-05 0.000034 0.000056 0.000091 0.000157 0.000277 0.000497 0.000952
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000054 0.000090 0.000159 0.000289 0.000536 0.001064
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000051 0.000088 0.000158 0.000295 0.000561 0.001154
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000050 0.000087 0.000160 0.000307 0.000602 0.001282
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000047 0.000084 0.000158 0.000310 0.000624 0.001371
2025-11-09 0.000025 0.000045 0.000082 0.000157 0.000314 0.000650 0.001472
2025-11-16 0.000023 0.000043 0.000079 0.000154 0.000315 0.000667 0.001557
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000149 0.000311 0.000674 0.001617
2025-11-30 0.000021 0.000039 0.000074 0.000149 0.000319 0.000707 0.001748
2025-12-07 0.000020 0.000038 0.000073 0.000151 0.000331 0.000752 0.001919
2025-12-14 0.000019 0.000036 0.000071 0.000148 0.000331 0.000769 0.002016